Appearing during the first three hours, financial advisor David Smick offered analysis of the global financial predicament. The current economic crisis goes well beyond the subprime loan/mortgage implosion-- it reveals fundamental problems in our financial architecture, and a serious lack of trust in the institutions themselves, he said. We could be looking at a "perfect storm" of further financial trouble, with the bursting of as many as eight other bubbles, including the commercial real estate market, adding up to a staggering loss of $200 trillion, he warned.
We allowed the leveraging of financial institutions to get out of hand-- government regulators were "asleep at the switch," he declared. European countries and other nations are likely in a worse situation than America since they are largely export dependent, and exports are dropping off, Smick noted, adding that European banks are heavily exposed to Emerging Market debt. The civil unrest and chaos in Greece, fueled by unemployed youth, could spread to Spain, Italy and France, he added.
Innovation and risk taking are drying up because of the lack of capital, Smick pointed out. Obama's stimulus plan could end up creating a "debt bomb" and may not employ many of the laid off white collar workers, he continued. Banks in the U.S. may eventually have to be nationalized to deal with the crisis, he suggested.